-
Oddhead Blog
linked to by no other blogs recently
Musings of a computer scientist on predictions, odds, and markets
Most recent posts
-
Last call: Postdoc positions at Microsoft Research NYC
posted to Oddhead Blog on Fri 11th Jan 13
Microsoft Research New York Cityseeks outstanding applicants for 2-year postdoctoral researcher positions. We welcome applicants with a strong academic record in one of the following areas:Computational social scienceOnline experimental social scienceAlgorithmic
-
A toast to the number 303: A redemptive election night for science, and The Signal
posted to Oddhead Blog on Sat 10th Nov 12
The night of February 15, 2012, was an uncomfortable one for me. Not a natural talker, I was out of my element at a press dinner organized by Yahoo! with journalists from the New York Times, Fast Company, MIT Tech Review, Forbes, SF Chronicle, WIRED, Reuters,
-
Raise your WiseQ to the 57th power
posted to Oddhead Blog on Sat 6th Oct 12
One of the few aspects of my job I enjoy more than designing a new market is actually building it. Turning some wild concept that sprung from the minds of a bunch of scientists into a working artifact is a huge rush, and I can only smile as people from around
Most popular posts
-
A historic MayDay: The US governments call for help on regulating prediction markets
posted to Oddhead Blog on Fri 2nd May 08
If ever there was an excuse for me to use the clich pregnant with possibilities, this is it.May 1, 2008 could signal a turning point for the prediction markets industry.*Yesterday, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a request for public
-
The most prescient footnote ever
posted to Oddhead Blog on Thu 15th Jul 10
Back in 2004, who could have imagined Apple’s astonishing rise to overtake Microsoft as the most valuable tech company in the world?At least one person.Paul Graham wins the award for the most prescient parenthetical statement inside a footnote ever.In
-
Raise your WiseQ to the 57th power
posted to Oddhead Blog on Sat 6th Oct 12
One of the few aspects of my job I enjoy more than designing a new market is actually building it. Turning some wild concept that sprung from the minds of a bunch of scientists into a working artifact is a huge rush, and I can only smile as people from around
Latest posts linking here
-
Intrade to the 57th power
posted to Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science on Fri 19th Oct 12
David Pennock writes:http://PredictWiseQ.com is our (beta) prediction contest which aims to estimate not just the marginal probabilities of election outcomes this November, but millions of correlations among outcomes as well, like the chance Obama will win
-
John Delaneys OB [RANT]
posted to Midas Oracle .ORG on Mon 8th Aug 11
When I die, I want the doctor Pennock to write my ob. Then, I am sure only the good things will be highlighted.On InTrade: All the economists blogging about their prediction markets never mentioned the numerous disputes about the non-sport contracts (North
-
When you die, ask David Pennock to write up your obituary. [LINK]
posted to Midas Oracle .ORG on Mon 1st Aug 11
Farewell to John Delaney.



