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  • Three Decades (2)

    posted to The New Arthurian Economics on Mon 8th Oct 12

    Graph #1: The Growth of Debt (blue) and Output (red), 1950-1980In the 1950s debt grew slowly, and accumulated debt (not shown) was not great. Economic growth was rapid, sometimes more rapid even that debt growth. In the 1960s this pattern continued, but debt

  • Three Decades

    posted to The New Arthurian Economics on Mon 8th Oct 12

    When there is too much debt, it is necessary to reduce debt. In an environment where everything is growing, it is possible to reduce debt simply by having debt grow more slowly. This is what happened in the 1980s, after about 1986. When there is not too much

  • Marcus: Debt is a "red herring"

    posted to The New Arthurian Economics on Fri 27th Jul 12

    Unbelievable. I was thrilled to read Krugman say:Second, a dramatic rise in household debt, which many of us now believe lies at the heart of our continuing depression. Why he lists it "second" I do not know. But I'm glad it's on his list and near the top.

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  • Debt and Growth

    posted to Angry Bear on Thu 11th Oct 12

    Art at The New Arthurian Economics and I are looking at the relationship between debt and economic growth.  Art started with an observation of two FRED series, total credit market debt owed (TCMDO) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP,  nominal or GDPC1,

  • Debt, Recession, and That Ol' Devil Denominator

    posted to Angry Bear on Thu 23rd Aug 12

    Krugman recently presented this graph, showing household debt as a percentage of GDP. and made this comment.Second, a dramatic rise in household debt, which many of us now believe lies at the heart of our continuing depression. There are those who seem to believe