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Most recent posts

  • Wednesday: FOMC Minutes, Janet Yellen

    posted to Calculated Risk on Tue 8th Oct 13

    Some good news from the WSJ: White House to Nominate Yellen as Fed Chief President Barack Obama plans to announce Wednesday afternoon he is nominating Federal Reserve Vice Chairwoman Janet Yellen as the central bank's new leader, a White House official said.

  • Las Vegas Real Estate in September: Year-over-year Non-contingent Inventory up 60%

    posted to Calculated Risk on Tue 8th Oct 13

    This is a key distressed market to follow since Las Vegas has seen the largest price decline of any of the Case-Shiller composite 20 cities. The Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors reported GLVAR reports end to 19-month run of rising local home pricesGLVAR

  • Gallup: Sharp decline in Confidence

    posted to Calculated Risk on Tue 8th Oct 13

    No surprise ... from Gallup: Weekly Drop in U.S. Economic Confidence Largest Since '08 Americans' confidence in the economy has deteriorated more in the past week during the partial government shutdown than in any week since Lehman Brothers collapsed on Sept.

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  • Looking for the Sun

    posted to Calculated Risk on Tue 3rd Feb 09

    2009 will be a grim economic year. The unemployment rate will rise all year, house prices will fall, commercial real estate (CRE) will get crushed ... but there might be a few rays of sunshine too.Look at these three charts of Cliff Diving: Click on graph for

  • BK Judge Rules Stated Income HELOC Debt Dischargeable

    posted to Calculated Risk on Thu 29th May 08

    This is a big deal, and will no doubt strike real fear in the hearts of stated-income lenders everywhere. Our own Uncle Festus sent me this decision, in which Judge Leslie Tchaikovsky ruled that a National City HELOC that had been "foreclosed out" would be

  • Credit Crisis: The 4th Wave?

    posted to Calculated Risk on Thu 26th Jun 08

    The TED spread is starting to rise again and is back above 1.0 for the first time since the beginning of May. Here is the TED Spread from Bloomberg. The spread is still far below the previous three waves, but well above the normal level (below 0.5). And from

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